Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 02:00 • Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.56 (league 1.46) 0.95 (league 0.76)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.1% 25.4% 22.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.7%
1 - 1
12.0%
2 - 0
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Malacateco
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marquense 0 8.2% 7.7% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 12.7% 12.0% 5.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.9% 9.4% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.2% 4.9% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.0% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMarquenseMalacateco
Played55
Form33%33%
Attack56%67%
Defense33%11%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Marquense Malacateco
HATHAT
Played161733181735
Wins50%0%24%61%18%40%
Draws31%18%24%11%12%11%
Loses19%82%52%28%71%49%

Form: Marquense: LDDWLWLWLLLDWLWLWDDLLLLWLDLLWLDLD • Malacateco: LDLWLLWLWLWLWLLLWWWWWLWLWLWLLDWDLDL

League goals

Metric Marquense Malacateco
HATHAT
GF total19928271340
GF avg1.20.50.81.50.81.1
GA total143852163248
GA avg0.92.21.60.91.91.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMarquenseMalacateco
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.561%76%74%71%
1.515%52%34%37%
2.56%21%6%20%
3.53%6%0%9%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMarquenseMalacateco
HATHAT
Clean sheets7188210
Failed to score4913279

Penalties

MetricMarquenseMalacateco
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricMarquenseMalacateco
Wins15
Draws21
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-1—3-01-2
Biggest losses0-25-01-34-1
Goals For4232
Goals Against2534

Model comparison

MetricMarquenseMalacateco
Form50%50%
Att45%55%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h40%60%
Goals57%43%
Total52.2%47.8%

Advice: Double chance : Marquense or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.16 @ Unibet
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away3.92 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.60 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.07 @ Pinnacle
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Marquense = 1.56 (league 1.46), Malacateco = 0.95 (league 0.76)

Malacateco
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marquense 0 8.2% 7.7% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 12.7% 12.0% 5.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.9% 9.4% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.2% 4.9% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.0% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.1% · Draw 25.4% · Away win 22.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1