Thu, Mar 19 2026 • 00:00 • Estadio La Asuncion
First Half
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.48) 0.65 (league 0.75)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.4% 26.6% 16.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.7%
2 - 0
12.9%
0 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Malacateco
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mictlán 0 12.1% 7.9% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.7% 11.5% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.9% 8.4% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.3% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMictlánMalacateco
Played55
Form47%7%
Attack47%33%
Defense47%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mictlán Malacateco
HATHAT
Played181937191837
Wins44%11%27%58%17%38%
Draws33%16%24%11%11%11%
Loses22%74%49%32%72%51%

Form: Mictlán: LDDLDWDLWWWLWLLLLLDLWDLLWDLLLDLWDLWWL • Malacateco: LDLWLLWLWLWLWLLLWWWWWLWLWLWLLDWDLDLLL

League goals

Metric Mictlán Malacateco
HATHAT
GF total211334281341
GF avg1.20.70.91.50.71.1
GA total133144183351
GA avg0.71.61.20.91.81.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMictlánMalacateco
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.554%70%73%73%
1.530%38%32%38%
2.55%11%5%19%
3.53%0%0%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMictlánMalacateco
HATHAT
Clean sheets92118210
Failed to score611172810

Penalties

MetricMictlánMalacateco
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricMictlánMalacateco
Wins35
Draws21
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-33-01-2
Biggest losses2-33-11-34-1
Goals For4332
Goals Against3334

Model comparison

MetricMictlánMalacateco
Form88%13%
Att58%42%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h15%85%
Goals27%73%
Total52.0%48.2%

Advice: Double chance : Mictlán or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.93 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Betfair
Away4.04 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.71 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Betfair
No1.92 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mictlán = 1.46 (league 1.48), Malacateco = 0.65 (league 0.75)

Malacateco
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mictlán 0 12.1% 7.9% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.7% 11.5% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.9% 8.4% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.3% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.4% · Draw 26.6% · Away win 16.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1