Malacateco vs Comunicaciones

Liga Nacional — Guatemala

Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 21:00 • Venue TBA

Not Started

Malacateco

—

Comunicaciones

Expected Goals

1.54 (league 1.46) 0.84 (league 0.75)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
53.3%	25.8%	20.4%

best score tips

1 - 0

14.3%

1 - 1

12.0%

2 - 0

11.0%

Score & goals probability table

		Comunicaciones
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Malacateco	0	9.3%	7.8%	3.3%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%
	1	14.3%	12.0%	5.0%	1.4%	0.3%	0.0%
	2	11.0%	9.2%	3.8%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%
	3	5.6%	4.7%	2.0%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
	4	2.2%	1.8%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.7%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Malacateco +1.0, Comunicaciones +6.5.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone

Malacateco Elo 1448.2 · +1.0

Comunicaciones Elo 1485.1 · +6.5

Elo gapComunicaciones +2

Home / draw / away35% / 30% / 35%

Expected home share50%

Combined Elo2933.3

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook

Confidence band Thin confidence

Upset risk High

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 2933.3

Elo home share 50%

Match tone Tactical Watch

Metric	Malacateco	Comunicaciones
Overall Elo	1448.2	1485.1
Form Elo	1436	1483.2
Home / Away Elo	1537.7	1463.9
Attack Elo	1441.4	1457.1
Defense Elo	1520.7	1515.7
Last 5 Elo change	+1.0	+6.5

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Malacateco last-5 Elo change: +1.0; Comunicaciones last-5 Elo change: +6.5.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Malacateco	Comunicaciones
Played	5	5
Form	40%	67%
Attack	24%	24%
Defense	76%	88%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	4 \| 0.8	4 \| 0.8
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	4 \| 0.8	2 \| 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%

FT probability

2.5+

46%

FT probability

3.5+

33%

FT probability

BTTS

63%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-5

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Malacateco			Comunicaciones
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	22	23	45	22	21	43
Wins	59%	13%	36%	59%	14%	37%
Draws	14%	9%	11%	9%	24%	16%
Loses	27%	78%	53%	32%	62%	47%

MalacatecoLDLWLLWLWLWLWLLLWWWWWLWLWLWLLDWDLDLLLLDLWLLWL

ComunicacionesWLDDWLLLLWLLLDDLWDWLLLWLWLWDWLWWWWLLLLWDWLW

League goals

Metric	Malacateco			Comunicaciones
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	32	14	46	29	14	43
GF avg	1.5	0.6	1.0	1.3	0.7	1.0
GA total	19	39	58	20	31	51
GA avg	0.9	1.7	1.3	0.9	1.5	1.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Malacateco		Comunicaciones
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	69%	73%	58%	67%
1.5	29%	33%	28%	37%
2.5	4%	16%	12%	14%
3.5	0%	7%	2%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Malacateco			Comunicaciones
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	10	2	12	11	3	14
Failed to score	2	12	14	6	12	18

Penalties

Metric	Malacateco	Comunicaciones
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Malacateco	Comunicaciones
Wins	5	4
Draws	1	2
Losses	4	4

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	3-0	1-2	4-0	1-3
Biggest losses	1-3	4-1	0-3	3-0
Goals For	3	2	4	3
Goals Against	3	4	3	3

Model comparison

Metric	Malacateco	Comunicaciones
Form	38%	63%
Att	50%	50%
Def	33%	67%
Poisson Distribution	66%	34%
H2h	29%	71%
Goals	47%	53%
Total	43.8%	56.3%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Malacateco vs Comunicaciones

Metric	Malacateco	Comunicaciones
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0