Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 18:30 •
Alfredo Ramos stadium
Expected Goals
0.93 (league 1.07)
0.55 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 43.1% | 35.9% | 21.0% |
best score tips
0 - 0
22.6%
1 - 0
21.1%
0 - 1
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Dock Sud | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Comunicaciones | 0 | 22.6% | 12.5% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.2% | 11.7% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.9% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Comunicaciones carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 62 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Comunicaciones -18.2, Dock Sud +13.7.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Comunicaciones
vs
Dock Sud
Elo gapComunicaciones +62
Home / draw / away45% / 23% / 32%
Expected home share59%
Combined Elo2929.5
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2929.5
Elo home share
59%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Comunicaciones | Dock Sud |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1478.1 | 1451.4 |
| Form Elo | 1464.7 | 1456.9 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1473.3 | 1475.3 |
| Attack Elo | 1412 | 1424 |
| Defense Elo | 1538 | 1536.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -18.2 | +13.7 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Comunicaciones last-5 Elo change: -18.2; Dock Sud last-5 Elo change: +13.7.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Comunicaciones | Dock Sud |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 40% |
| Attack | 25% | 50% |
| Defense | 50% | 58% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
50%
FT probability
2.5+
35%
FT probability
3.5+
25%
FT probability
BTTS
56%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Comunicaciones | Dock Sud | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 40% | 17% | 27% | 33% | 0% | 18% |
| Draws | 20% | 33% | 27% | 33% | 60% | 45% |
| Loses | 40% | 50% | 45% | 33% | 40% | 36% |
ComunicacionesWLDDLWWLDLL
Dock SudDLLDLWDLDDW
League goals
| Metric | Comunicaciones | Dock Sud | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 4 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Comunicaciones | Dock Sud | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 55% | 64% | 64% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 9% | 36% | 27% | 18% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 9% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Comunicaciones | Dock Sud | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Comunicaciones | Dock Sud |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Comunicaciones | Dock Sud |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-1 | 3-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-0 | 1-3 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Comunicaciones | Dock Sud |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 65% | 35% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 50.2% | 49.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.14 @ Dafabet
Draw3.00 @ Dafabet
Away3.80 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.75 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.44 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.38 @ Bet365
No1.58 @ Unibet
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League standings
Loading standings…