Deportivo Laferrere vs Liniers

Primera B Metropolitana — Argentina

Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 18:30 • Ciudad de Laferrere Stadium

Not Started

home	draw	away
35.7%	28.9%	35.1%

		Liniers
Deportivo Laferrere	0	10.8%	12.0%	6.6%	2.4%	0.7%	0.1%
1	12.1%	13.4%	7.4%	2.7%	0.8%	0.2%
2	6.8%	7.5%	4.1%	1.5%	0.4%	0.1%
3	2.5%	2.8%	1.5%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%
4	0.7%	0.8%	0.4%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
5	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Home lean

Deportivo Laferrere carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 40 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Deportivo Laferrere -18.3, Liniers -4.6.

Lean confidence Upset risk: Medium-high Elo standalone

Deportivo Laferrere Elo 1487.7 · -18.3

Liniers Elo 1483.2 · -4.6

Elo gapDeportivo Laferrere +40

Home / draw / away42% / 26% / 32%

Expected home share56%

Combined Elo2970.9

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Home lean

Confidence band Lean confidence

Upset risk Medium-high

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 2970.9

Elo home share 56%

Match tone Tactical Watch

Metric	Deportivo Laferrere	Liniers
Overall Elo	1487.7	1483.2
Form Elo	1475.7	1480.3
Home / Away Elo	1503.2	1510.7
Attack Elo	1457.7	1471
Defense Elo	1501.7	1499.2
Last 5 Elo change	-18.3	-4.6

There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Deportivo Laferrere last-5 Elo change: -18.3; Liniers last-5 Elo change: -4.6.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Deportivo Laferrere	Liniers
Played	5	5
Form	33%	47%
Attack	25%	33%
Defense	50%	67%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	3 \| 0.6	4 \| 0.8
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	6 \| 1.2	4 \| 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%

FT probability

2.5+

43%

FT probability

3.5+

30%

FT probability

BTTS

61%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-5

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Deportivo Laferrere			Liniers
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	5	6	11	6	5	11
Wins	40%	17%	27%	33%	40%	36%
Draws	20%	33%	27%	33%	0%	18%
Loses	40%	50%	45%	33%	60%	45%

Deportivo LaferrereDWWLLLLWDDL

LiniersWDLLWLDWLLW

League goals

Metric	Deportivo Laferrere			Liniers
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	5	5	10	5	4	9
GF avg	1.0	0.8	0.9	0.8	0.8	0.8
GA total	6	10	16	6	6	12
GA avg	1.2	1.7	1.5	1.0	1.2	1.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Deportivo Laferrere		Liniers
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	55%	82%	55%	73%
1.5	27%	45%	18%	36%
2.5	9%	18%	9%	0%
3.5	0%	0%	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Deportivo Laferrere			Liniers
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	2	0	2	2	1	3
Failed to score	2	3	5	3	2	5

Penalties

Metric	Deportivo Laferrere	Liniers
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Deportivo Laferrere	Liniers
Wins	2	1
Draws	2	1
Losses	4	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	3-2	1-2	3-2	1-2
Biggest losses	1-3	3-0	0-2	2-0
Goals For	3	2	3	2
Goals Against	3	3	2	2

Model comparison

Metric	Deportivo Laferrere	Liniers
Form	42%	58%
Att	43%	57%
Def	40%	60%
Poisson Distribution	53%	47%
H2h	50%	50%
Goals	44%	56%
Total	45.3%	54.7%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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League page • Country page • Venue page • Deportivo Laferrere vs Liniers

Metric	Deportivo Laferrere	Liniers
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Deportivo Laferrere vs Liniers