Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 18:30 •
Estadio Saturnino Moure
Expected Goals
0.36 (league 1.08)
0.57 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 18.9% | 48.0% | 33.1% |
best score tips
0 - 0
39.5%
0 - 1
22.4%
1 - 0
14.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Lugano | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Victoriano Arenas | 0 | 39.5% | 22.4% | 6.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.3% | 8.1% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Victoriano Arenas | Lugano |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Attack | 50% | 100% |
| Defense | 83% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
49%
FT probability
2.5+
35%
FT probability
3.5+
25%
FT probability
BTTS
44%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Victoriano Arenas | Lugano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 25% | 50% | 33% | 33% | 67% | 50% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 33% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Loses | 25% | 50% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Victoriano ArenasLWWDLD
LuganoWWDWLL
League goals
| Metric | Victoriano Arenas | Lugano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| GF avg | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Victoriano Arenas | Lugano | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 33% | 33% | 67% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 0% | 50% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Victoriano Arenas | Lugano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Victoriano Arenas | Lugano |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Victoriano Arenas | Lugano |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-2 | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Victoriano Arenas | Lugano |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 86% | 14% |
| Poisson Distribution | 47% | 53% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 55% | 45% |
| Total | 56.0% | 44.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.80 @ Dafabet
Draw2.90 @ Dafabet
Away3.20 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.75 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.47 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.25 @ Bet365
No1.68 @ Unibet
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League standings
Loading standings…