Argentino Rosario vs JJ Urquiza

Primera C — Argentina

Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 18:30 • Venue TBA

Not Started

home	draw	away
23.9%	46.0%	30.1%

		JJ Urquiza
Argentino Rosario	0	36.1%	20.1%	5.6%	1.0%	0.1%	0.0%
1	16.7%	9.3%	2.6%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
2	3.9%	2.1%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
3	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
4	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Home lean

Argentino Rosario carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 34 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Argentino Rosario -8.7, JJ Urquiza +15.5.

Lean confidence Upset risk: Medium-high Elo standalone

Argentino Rosario Elo 1489.2 · -8.7

JJ Urquiza Elo 1490.5 · +15.5

Elo gapArgentino Rosario +34

Home / draw / away41% / 26% / 33%

Expected home share55%

Combined Elo2979.7

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Home lean

Confidence band Lean confidence

Upset risk Medium-high

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 2979.7

Elo home share 55%

Match tone Good Watch

Metric	Argentino Rosario	JJ Urquiza
Overall Elo	1489.2	1490.5
Form Elo	1471.2	1489.4
Home / Away Elo	1521.7	1512.3
Attack Elo	1451.4	1402.7
Defense Elo	1538	1561.5
Last 5 Elo change	-8.7	+15.5

There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Argentino Rosario last-5 Elo change: -8.7; JJ Urquiza last-5 Elo change: +15.5.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Argentino Rosario	JJ Urquiza
Played	5	5
Form	40%	47%
Attack	100%	100%
Defense	0%	25%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	5 \| 1	4 \| 0.8
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	4 \| 0.8	3 \| 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

46%

FT probability

2.5+

33%

FT probability

3.5+

23%

FT probability

BTTS

60%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Argentino Rosario			JJ Urquiza
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	5	3	8	4	4	8
Wins	20%	0%	13%	25%	0%	13%
Draws	40%	67%	50%	25%	100%	63%
Loses	40%	33%	38%	50%	0%	25%

Argentino RosarioLDLDDWLD

JJ UrquizaLLDDWDDD

League goals

Metric	Argentino Rosario			JJ Urquiza
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	5	3	8	2	2	4
GF avg	1.0	1.0	1.0	0.5	0.5	0.5
GA total	5	4	9	5	2	7
GA avg	1.0	1.3	1.1	1.3	0.5	0.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Argentino Rosario		JJ Urquiza
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	75%	88%	50%	63%
1.5	25%	25%	0%	25%
2.5	0%	0%	0%	0%
3.5	0%	0%	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Argentino Rosario			JJ Urquiza
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	1	0	1	1	2	3
Failed to score	1	1	2	2	2	4

Penalties

Metric	Argentino Rosario	JJ Urquiza
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	1 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	1

Streaks

Metric	Argentino Rosario	JJ Urquiza
Wins	1	1
Draws	2	2
Losses	1	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	2-0	—	1-0	—
Biggest losses	1-2	1-0	0-2	—
Goals For	2	2	1	1
Goals Against	2	2	2	1

Model comparison

Metric	Argentino Rosario	JJ Urquiza
Form	46%	54%
Att	56%	44%
Def	43%	57%
Poisson Distribution	53%	47%
H2h	50%	50%
Goals	50%	50%
Total	49.7%	50.3%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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League page • Country page • Argentino Rosario vs JJ Urquiza

Metric	Argentino Rosario	JJ Urquiza
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	1 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	1

Argentino Rosario vs JJ Urquiza