Expected Goals
0.17 (league 1.08)
0.33 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 11.3% | 64.1% | 24.6% |
best score tips
0 - 0
60.6%
0 - 1
20.2%
1 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Claypole | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fénix | 0 | 60.6% | 20.2% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.1% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
Claypole carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 127 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Fénix -8.2, Claypole +11.4.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Fénix
vs
Claypole
Elo gapClaypole +127
Home / draw / away27% / 18% / 55%
Expected home share33%
Combined Elo2899.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2899.1
Elo home share
33%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Fénix | Claypole |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1368.6 | 1530.5 |
| Form Elo | 1372 | 1533.3 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1436.4 | 1509.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1327.9 | 1438.7 |
| Defense Elo | 1413.8 | 1609.2 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -8.2 | +11.4 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Fénix last-5 Elo change: -8.2; Claypole last-5 Elo change: +11.4.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Fénix | Claypole |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 73% |
| Attack | 50% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
35%
FT probability
2.5+
25%
FT probability
3.5+
18%
FT probability
BTTS
41%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Fénix | Claypole | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| Wins | 0% | 25% | 13% | 33% | 40% | 38% |
| Draws | 75% | 25% | 50% | 67% | 20% | 38% |
| Loses | 25% | 50% | 38% | 0% | 40% | 25% |
FénixLDWDDLLD
ClaypoleLDLWDWWD
League goals
| Metric | Fénix | Claypole | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GF avg | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 2 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Fénix | Claypole | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 38% | 50% | 63% | 38% |
| 1.5 | 13% | 25% | 13% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 13% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 13% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Fénix | Claypole | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Fénix | Claypole |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Fénix | Claypole |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-1 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 4-2 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Fénix | Claypole |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 21% | 79% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 36% | 64% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 40.0% | 60.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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