Expected Goals
0.28 (league 1.08)
0.20 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 20.4% | 65.5% | 14.1% |
best score tips
0 - 0
62.0%
1 - 0
17.2%
0 - 1
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Deportivo Muñiz | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| General Lamadrid | 0 | 62.0% | 12.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.2% | 3.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
General Lamadrid carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 142 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: General Lamadrid +1.9, Deportivo Muñiz -4.9.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
General Lamadrid
vs
Deportivo Muñiz
Elo gapGeneral Lamadrid +142
Home / draw / away57% / 18% / 25%
Expected home share69%
Combined Elo2952.5
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2952.5
Elo home share
69%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | General Lamadrid | Deportivo Muñiz |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1529.9 | 1422.6 |
| Form Elo | 1532.6 | 1410.8 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1536.3 | 1472.1 |
| Attack Elo | 1510.5 | 1346.7 |
| Defense Elo | 1543 | 1529.7 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +1.9 | -4.9 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. General Lamadrid last-5 Elo change: +1.9; Deportivo Muñiz last-5 Elo change: -4.9.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | General Lamadrid | Deportivo Muñiz |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 27% |
| Attack | 67% | 67% |
| Defense | 33% | 17% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
34%
FT probability
2.5+
24%
FT probability
3.5+
17%
FT probability
BTTS
43%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | General Lamadrid | Deportivo Muñiz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Wins | 80% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 20% | 67% | 38% | 40% | 100% | 63% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 13% | 60% | 0% | 38% |
General LamadridWDWDDWLW
Deportivo MuñizLDLDDDLD
League goals
| Metric | General Lamadrid | Deportivo Muñiz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 0 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | General Lamadrid | Deportivo Muñiz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 38% | 50% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 25% | 0% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | General Lamadrid | Deportivo Muñiz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | General Lamadrid | Deportivo Muñiz |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | General Lamadrid | Deportivo Muñiz |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | 0-2 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | General Lamadrid | Deportivo Muñiz |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 73% | 27% |
| Total | 67.8% | 32.2% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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