Ligue A — Burundi
Sun, Jan 25 2026 • 13:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.75 (league 1.44) 0.72 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.1% 23.0% 15.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.8%
2 - 0
12.9%
1 - 1
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Le Messager Ngozi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Flambeau du Centre 0 8.4% 6.1% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.8% 10.7% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.9% 9.3% 3.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.5% 5.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.3% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFlambeau du CentreLe Messager Ngozi
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack50%67%
Defense50%17%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Flambeau du Centre Le Messager Ngozi
HATHAT
Played98178917
Wins67%75%71%13%22%18%
Draws0%25%12%50%22%35%
Loses33%0%18%38%56%47%

Form: Flambeau du Centre: WWWWLWDWWWWWDLWLW • Le Messager Ngozi: DWLLDLLWLDDLLLDWD

League goals

Metric Flambeau du Centre Le Messager Ngozi
HATHAT
GF total13112441014
GF avg1.41.41.40.51.10.8
GA total72961622
GA avg0.80.30.50.81.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFlambeau du CentreLe Messager Ngozi
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%47%65%76%
1.547%6%18%29%
2.518%0%0%18%
3.50%0%0%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFlambeau du CentreLe Messager Ngozi
HATHAT
Clean sheets369404
Failed to score314516

Penalties

MetricFlambeau du CentreLe Messager Ngozi
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricFlambeau du CentreLe Messager Ngozi
Wins51
Draws12
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-31-01-2
Biggest losses0-1—2-34-1
Goals For3322
Goals Against2134

Model comparison

MetricFlambeau du CentreLe Messager Ngozi
Form58%42%
Att43%57%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h71%29%
Goals63%38%
Total61.7%38.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Flambeau du Centre or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Flambeau du Centre = 1.75 (league 1.44), Le Messager Ngozi = 0.72 (league 1.22)

Le Messager Ngozi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Flambeau du Centre 0 8.4% 6.1% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.8% 10.7% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.9% 9.3% 3.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.5% 5.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.3% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.1% · Draw 23.0% · Away win 15.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1