Ligue A — Burundi
Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 13:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.31 (league 1.44) 0.92 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.2% 38.0% 49.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
29.0%
0 - 1
26.8%
0 - 2
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Muzinga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Le Messager Ngozi 0 29.0% 26.8% 12.4% 3.8% 0.9% 0.2%
1 9.1% 8.4% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 1.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLe Messager NgoziMuzinga
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack40%60%
Defense50%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Le Messager Ngozi Muzinga
HATHAT
Played8101810818
Wins13%20%17%40%63%50%
Draws50%20%33%40%13%28%
Loses38%60%50%20%25%22%

Form: Le Messager Ngozi: DWLLDLLWLDDLLLDWDL • Muzinga: WDWWDLDDWLWWLLWDWW

League goals

Metric Le Messager Ngozi Muzinga
HATHAT
GF total41014121123
GF avg0.51.00.81.21.41.3
GA total6172310717
GA avg0.81.71.31.00.90.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLe Messager NgoziMuzinga
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.561%78%83%72%
1.517%28%39%22%
2.50%17%6%0%
3.50%6%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLe Messager NgoziMuzinga
HATHAT
Clean sheets404235
Failed to score527213

Penalties

MetricLe Messager NgoziMuzinga
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLe Messager NgoziMuzinga
Wins12
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-22-11-3
Biggest losses2-34-11-22-0
Goals For2223
Goals Against3422

Model comparison

MetricLe Messager NgoziMuzinga
Form33%67%
Att40%60%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution26%74%
H2h67%33%
Goals71%29%
Total45.8%54.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Muzinga and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Le Messager Ngozi = 0.31 (league 1.44), Muzinga = 0.92 (league 1.21)

Muzinga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Le Messager Ngozi 0 29.0% 26.8% 12.4% 3.8% 0.9% 0.2%
1 9.1% 8.4% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 1.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.2% · Draw 38.0% · Away win 49.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1