Ligue A — Burundi
Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 13:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.41 (league 1.46) 1.74 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
8.1% 21.6% 69.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
20.3%
0 - 2
17.6%
0 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
Bumamuru
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ngozi City 0 11.7% 20.3% 17.6% 10.2% 4.4% 1.5%
1 4.8% 8.3% 7.2% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6%
2 1.0% 1.7% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNgozi CityBumamuru
Played55
Form7%27%
Attack31%44%
Defense44%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ngozi City Bumamuru
HATHAT
Played10102011920
Wins20%20%20%64%67%65%
Draws20%40%30%9%22%15%
Loses60%40%50%27%11%20%

Form: Ngozi City: DLLWDDWDWLLLWDLLLLDL • Bumamuru: WWDWWWWLWWWWWWDLDWLL

League goals

Metric Ngozi City Bumamuru
HATHAT
GF total10919241539
GF avg1.00.91.02.21.72.0
GA total13132611516
GA avg1.31.31.31.00.60.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNgozi CityBumamuru
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%70%90%60%
1.515%50%60%15%
2.510%10%25%5%
3.55%0%15%0%
4.50%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNgozi CityBumamuru
HATHAT
Clean sheets336358
Failed to score347112

Penalties

MetricNgozi CityBumamuru
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNgozi CityBumamuru
Wins16
Draws21
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-35-00-4
Biggest losses0-33-02-32-1
Goals For4354
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricNgozi CityBumamuru
Form20%80%
Att42%58%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution18%82%
H2h50%50%
Goals43%57%
Total36.7%63.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Bumamuru

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ngozi City = 0.41 (league 1.46), Bumamuru = 1.74 (league 1.27)

Bumamuru
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ngozi City 0 11.7% 20.3% 17.6% 10.2% 4.4% 1.5%
1 4.8% 8.3% 7.2% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6%
2 1.0% 1.7% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.1% · Draw 21.6% · Away win 69.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1