Ligue A — Burundi
Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 13:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.50 (league 1.44) 1.20 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.4% 31.0% 53.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
21.9%
0 - 0
18.3%
0 - 2
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
Muzinga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ngozi City 0 18.3% 21.9% 13.2% 5.3% 1.6% 0.4%
1 9.1% 11.0% 6.6% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
2 2.3% 2.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNgozi CityMuzinga
Played55
Form20%33%
Attack75%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ngozi City Muzinga
HATHAT
Played111122121022
Wins18%18%18%33%50%41%
Draws27%45%36%33%30%32%
Loses55%36%45%33%20%27%

Form: Ngozi City: DLLWDDWDWLLLWDLLLLDLDD • Muzinga: WDWWDLDDWLWWLLWDWWDLDL

League goals

Metric Ngozi City Muzinga
HATHAT
GF total10919131225
GF avg0.90.80.91.11.21.1
GA total13132615823
GA avg1.21.21.21.30.81.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNgozi CityMuzinga
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%64%77%73%
1.514%45%32%23%
2.59%9%5%5%
3.55%0%0%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNgozi CityMuzinga
HATHAT
Clean sheets448246
Failed to score459325

Penalties

MetricNgozi CityMuzinga
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNgozi CityMuzinga
Wins12
Draws22
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-32-11-3
Biggest losses0-33-01-42-0
Goals For4323
Goals Against3342

Model comparison

MetricNgozi CityMuzinga
Form38%63%
Att43%57%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total44.0%56.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Muzinga and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ngozi City = 0.50 (league 1.44), Muzinga = 1.20 (league 1.20)

Muzinga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ngozi City 0 18.3% 21.9% 13.2% 5.3% 1.6% 0.4%
1 9.1% 11.0% 6.6% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
2 2.3% 2.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.4% · Draw 31.0% · Away win 53.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1