Ligue A — Burundi
Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 13:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.68 (league 1.46) 0.24 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.0% 46.5% 11.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
39.9%
1 - 0
27.3%
0 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Green Farmers FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Le Messager Ngozi 0 39.9% 9.4% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.3% 6.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.3% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLe Messager NgoziGreen Farmers FC
Played55
Form33%0%
Attack75%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.817 | 3.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Le Messager Ngozi Green Farmers FC
HATHAT
Played101222111122
Wins10%25%18%9%0%5%
Draws60%17%36%18%18%18%
Loses30%58%45%73%82%77%

Form: Le Messager Ngozi: DWLLDLLWLDDLLLDWDLDWDL • Green Farmers FC: LLLDLLLLDDLLWLLLDLLLLL

League goals

Metric Le Messager Ngozi Green Farmers FC
HATHAT
GF total4131710515
GF avg0.41.10.80.90.50.7
GA total62026232851
GA avg0.61.71.22.12.52.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLe Messager NgoziGreen Farmers FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%73%55%82%
1.518%27%14%77%
2.55%14%0%45%
3.50%5%0%18%
4.50%0%0%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLe Messager NgoziGreen Farmers FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets606314
Failed to score73103710

Penalties

MetricLe Messager NgoziGreen Farmers FC
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLe Messager NgoziGreen Farmers FC
Wins11
Draws22
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-31-0—
Biggest losses2-34-11-55-0
Goals For2322
Goals Against3455

Model comparison

MetricLe Messager NgoziGreen Farmers FC
Form100%0%
Att43%57%
Def81%19%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h100%0%
Goals67%33%
Total66.8%33.3%

Advice: Double chance : Le Messager Ngozi or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Le Messager Ngozi = 0.68 (league 1.46), Green Farmers FC = 0.24 (league 1.27)

Green Farmers FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Le Messager Ngozi 0 39.9% 9.4% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.3% 6.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.3% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.0% · Draw 46.5% · Away win 11.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1