Ligue A — Burundi
Sat, Mar 7 2026 • 13:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.77 (league 1.44) 0.64 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.6% 22.4% 13.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.9%
2 - 0
14.0%
1 - 1
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Le Messager Ngozi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rukinzo 0 9.0% 5.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.9% 10.2% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.0% 9.0% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.3% 5.3% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.7% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRukinzoLe Messager Ngozi
Played55
Form60%53%
Attack57%50%
Defense79%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rukinzo Le Messager Ngozi
HATHAT
Played111223111223
Wins45%42%43%18%25%22%
Draws27%25%26%55%17%35%
Loses27%33%30%27%58%43%

Form: Rukinzo: LLWWLLWWLLWWWWLDDDWWDDD • Le Messager Ngozi: DWLLDLLWLDDLLLDWDLDWDLW

League goals

Metric Rukinzo Le Messager Ngozi
HATHAT
GF total17173481321
GF avg1.51.41.50.71.10.9
GA total8132162026
GA avg0.71.10.90.51.71.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRukinzoLe Messager Ngozi
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%61%57%70%
1.539%26%22%26%
2.530%4%9%13%
3.59%0%4%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRukinzoLe Messager Ngozi
HATHAT
Clean sheets549707
Failed to score4377310

Penalties

MetricRukinzoLe Messager Ngozi
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricRukinzoLe Messager Ngozi
Wins41
Draws32
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-34-01-3
Biggest losses0-23-12-34-1
Goals For4443
Goals Against2334

Model comparison

MetricRukinzoLe Messager Ngozi
Form53%47%
Att53%47%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h80%20%
Goals67%33%
Total62.7%37.3%

Advice: Double chance : Rukinzo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rukinzo = 1.77 (league 1.44), Le Messager Ngozi = 0.64 (league 1.20)

Le Messager Ngozi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rukinzo 0 9.0% 5.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.9% 10.2% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.0% 9.0% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.3% 5.3% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.7% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.6% · Draw 22.4% · Away win 13.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1