Ligue A — Burundi
Thu, Mar 12 2026 • 13:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.43 (league 1.46) 0.64 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.0% 44.4% 34.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
34.2%
0 - 1
21.9%
1 - 0
14.8%
Score & goals probability table
Musongati
0 1 2 3 4 5
Le Messager Ngozi 0 34.2% 21.9% 7.0% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.8% 9.5% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 3.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLe Messager NgoziMusongati
Played55
Form47%73%
Attack41%47%
Defense76%94%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.81 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

53%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Le Messager Ngozi Musongati
HATHAT
Played111324121224
Wins18%23%21%50%58%54%
Draws55%15%33%42%25%33%
Loses27%62%46%8%17%13%

Form: Le Messager Ngozi: DWLLDLLWLDDLLLDWDLDWDLWL • Musongati: LWWDLWWWDDWWWDDWLWDWWDDW

League goals

Metric Le Messager Ngozi Musongati
HATHAT
GF total81321141933
GF avg0.71.00.91.21.61.4
GA total6212751116
GA avg0.51.61.10.40.90.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLe Messager NgoziMusongati
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.554%71%75%42%
1.521%25%33%17%
2.58%13%21%4%
3.54%4%8%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLe Messager NgoziMusongati
HATHAT
Clean sheets7078614
Failed to score7411426

Penalties

MetricLe Messager NgoziMusongati
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLe Messager NgoziMusongati
Wins13
Draws22
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-33-01-4
Biggest losses2-34-10-14-1
Goals For4334
Goals Against3424

Model comparison

MetricLe Messager NgoziMusongati
Form39%61%
Att47%53%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total41.0%59.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Musongati and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Le Messager Ngozi = 0.43 (league 1.46), Musongati = 0.64 (league 1.25)

Musongati
0 1 2 3 4 5
Le Messager Ngozi 0 34.2% 21.9% 7.0% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.8% 9.5% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 3.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.0% · Draw 44.4% · Away win 34.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1