Ligue A — Burundi
Fri, Mar 20 2026 • 13:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.29 (league 1.46) 0.80 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.5% 41.9% 45.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
33.7%
0 - 1
27.0%
0 - 2
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Aigle Noir
0 1 2 3 4 5
Le Messager Ngozi 0 33.7% 27.0% 10.8% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1%
1 9.7% 7.8% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 1.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLe Messager NgoziAigle Noir
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack37%47%
Defense74%74%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Le Messager Ngozi Aigle Noir
HATHAT
Played121426131326
Wins17%29%23%85%62%73%
Draws50%14%31%15%38%27%
Loses33%57%46%0%0%0%

Form: Le Messager Ngozi: DWLLDLLWLDDLLLDWDLDWDLWLLW • Aigle Noir: WWWWDWWWWWWWWDDWWWWWDWDDDW

League goals

Metric Le Messager Ngozi Aigle Noir
HATHAT
GF total81624352257
GF avg0.71.10.92.71.72.2
GA total7222913821
GA avg0.61.61.11.00.60.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLe Messager NgoziAigle Noir
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.554%73%92%69%
1.523%23%65%12%
2.512%12%19%0%
3.54%4%15%0%
4.50%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLe Messager NgoziAigle Noir
HATHAT
Clean sheets707268
Failed to score8412022

Penalties

MetricLe Messager NgoziAigle Noir
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLe Messager NgoziAigle Noir
Wins18
Draws23
Losses30

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-38-21-7
Biggest losses2-34-1——
Goals For4387
Goals Against3422

Model comparison

MetricLe Messager NgoziAigle Noir
Form40%60%
Att44%56%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution27%73%
H2h50%50%
Goals36%64%
Total41.2%58.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Aigle Noir

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Le Messager Ngozi = 0.29 (league 1.46), Aigle Noir = 0.80 (league 1.27)

Aigle Noir
0 1 2 3 4 5
Le Messager Ngozi 0 33.7% 27.0% 10.8% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1%
1 9.7% 7.8% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 1.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.5% · Draw 41.9% · Away win 45.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1