Expected Goals
1.30 (league 1.40)
1.43 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 34.0% | 25.6% | 39.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
0 - 1
9.3%
1 - 2
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Olympic Star | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Inter Star | 0 | 6.4% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 8.4% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home lean
Inter Star carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 42 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Inter Star +6.4, Olympic Star -27.1.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Inter Star
vs
Olympic Star
Elo gapInter Star +42
Home / draw / away42% / 25% / 33%
Expected home share56%
Combined Elo2982.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2982.3
Elo home share
56%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Inter Star | Olympic Star |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1494.6 | 1487.7 |
| Form Elo | 1511.5 | 1478.6 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1488.3 | 1486 |
| Attack Elo | 1557.5 | 1458.8 |
| Defense Elo | 1503.3 | 1555.7 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +6.4 | -27.1 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Inter Star last-5 Elo change: +6.4; Olympic Star last-5 Elo change: -27.1.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Inter Star | Olympic Star |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 13% |
| Attack | 100% | 30% |
| Defense | 40% | 10% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Inter Star | Olympic Star | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 14% | 43% | 29% | 36% | 21% | 29% |
| Draws | 50% | 7% | 29% | 36% | 29% | 32% |
| Loses | 36% | 50% | 43% | 29% | 50% | 39% |
Inter StarDLLLDLWWLLLWLDLDDLDWWWDWLWDL
Olympic StarDWWWDLLLDDWLWLLWLLWDDWDLDLLD
League goals
| Metric | Inter Star | Olympic Star | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 18 | 36 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 22 | 15 | 37 | 14 | 20 | 34 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Inter Star | Olympic Star | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 64% | 75% | 64% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 39% | 25% | 32% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 14% | 11% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 4% | 4% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Inter Star | Olympic Star | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Inter Star | Olympic Star |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Inter Star | Olympic Star |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-5 | 3-1 | 1-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 3-1 | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Inter Star | Olympic Star |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 78% | 22% |
| Att | 81% | 19% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 49% | 51% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 29% | 71% |
| Total | 52.8% | 47.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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