Thu, Jan 22 2026 • 00:30 •
Arena Pernambuco
Expected Goals
2.64 (league 1.51)
0.96 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 68.0% | 15.5% | 11.3% |
best score tips
2 - 0
9.5%
2 - 1
9.1%
3 - 0
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Santa Cruz | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Retrô | 0 | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.2% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.5% | 9.1% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 8.4% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Retrô | Santa Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 44% | 78% |
| Attack | 36% | 36% |
| Defense | 79% | 93% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.7 | 5 | 1.7 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Retrô | Santa Cruz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 33% | 100% | 0% | 67% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
RetrôWLD
Santa CruzWDW
League goals
| Metric | Retrô | Santa Cruz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| GF avg | 4.0 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Retrô | Santa Cruz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 67% | 100% | 33% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 33% | 33% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Retrô | Santa Cruz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Retrô | Santa Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Retrô | Santa Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | — | 3-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Retrô | Santa Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 33.8% | 66.2% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.00 @ 10Bet
Draw3.22 @ Pinnacle
Away2.53 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.27 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.62 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.98 @ Pinnacle
No1.83 @ Betano
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League standings
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