Sun, Feb 8 2026 • 19:00 •
Arena das Dunas
Expected Goals
5.20 (league 1.40)
1.25 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 50.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% |
best score tips
5 - 1
6.3%
4 - 1
6.0%
5 - 0
5.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Santa Cruz RN | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| America-RN | 0 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.8% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 5.0% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | America-RN | Santa Cruz RN |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 33% |
| Attack | 60% | 60% |
| Defense | 87% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 15 | 3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
74%
FT probability
3.5+
53%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | America-RN | Santa Cruz RN | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 67% | 67% | 67% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| Draws | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 67% | 33% | 50% |
America-RNWWWDWD
Santa Cruz RNLWLLDD
League goals
| Metric | America-RN | Santa Cruz RN | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 5 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| GF avg | 2.7 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | America-RN | Santa Cruz RN | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 50% | 67% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 0% | 50% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 0% | 33% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 33% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | America-RN | Santa Cruz RN | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | America-RN | Santa Cruz RN |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | America-RN | Santa Cruz RN |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-4 | — | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | America-RN | Santa Cruz RN |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 69% | 31% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 88% | 12% |
| Poisson Distribution | 85% | 15% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 79% | 21% |
| Total | 75.2% | 24.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.11 @ William Hill
Draw8.50 @ Unibet
Away29.00 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.55 @ Betano
Under 2.52.80 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.88 @ Marathonbet
No1.55 @ Unibet
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League standings
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