Paulista - A1
— Brazil
Sun, Jan 18 2026 • 19:00 •
Neo Quimica Arena
Expected Goals
7.62 (league 1.18)
0.87 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 22.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
best score tips
5 - 0
4.4%
5 - 1
3.8%
4 - 0
2.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Sao Paulo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Corinthians | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Corinthians | Sao Paulo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Attack | 23% | 8% |
| Defense | 77% | 77% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 1.5 | 1 | 0.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 1.5 | 3 | 1.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
51%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Corinthians | Sao Paulo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 50% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 100% | 50% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
CorinthiansWL
Sao PauloLW
League goals
| Metric | Corinthians | Sao Paulo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Corinthians | Sao Paulo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | 0% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 50% | 0% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Corinthians | Sao Paulo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Corinthians | Sao Paulo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Corinthians | Sao Paulo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | — | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | — | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Corinthians | Sao Paulo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 39% | 61% |
| Total | 48.6% | 51.4% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.50 @ 1xBet
Draw3.15 @ 188Bet
Away3.40 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.63 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.57 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.10 @ Pinnacle
No1.80 @ William Hill
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League standings
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