Paulista - A1
— Brazil
Wed, Jan 21 2026 • 22:00 •
Estádio Alfredo de Castilho
Expected Goals
2.37 (league 1.18)
1.16 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 60.8% | 18.5% | 17.2% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.5%
2 - 0
8.2%
1 - 1
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Capivariano | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Noroeste | 0 | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 6.9% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.2% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.5% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Noroeste | Capivariano |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 22% | 67% |
| Attack | 13% | 20% |
| Defense | 80% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.7 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
56%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Noroeste | Capivariano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 67% |
| Draws | 0% | 100% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 100% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
NoroesteLDD
CapivarianoLWW
League goals
| Metric | Noroeste | Capivariano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Noroeste | Capivariano | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 100% | 67% | 33% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Noroeste | Capivariano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Noroeste | Capivariano |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Noroeste | Capivariano |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | — | — | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Noroeste | Capivariano |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 63% | 38% |
| Total | 51.2% | 49.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.38 @ 10Bet
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away3.73 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.46 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.58 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.82 @ Unibet
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League standings
Loading standings…