Thu, Jan 22 2026 • 00:30 •
Moisés Lucarelli
Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.18)
1.98 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7% | 14.5% | 83.2% |
best score tips
0 - 1
26.0%
0 - 2
25.7%
0 - 3
17.0%
Score & goals probability table
| São Bernardo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ponte Preta | 0 | 13.1% | 26.0% | 25.7% | 17.0% | 8.4% | 3.3% |
| 1 | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ponte Preta | São Bernardo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 0% | 44% |
| Attack | 0% | 38% |
| Defense | 54% | 85% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1.7 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0.7 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
46%
FT probability
2.5+
32%
FT probability
3.5+
23%
FT probability
BTTS
50%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-6
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ponte Preta | São Bernardo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Loses | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
Ponte PretaLLL
São BernardoWLD
League goals
| Metric | Ponte Preta | São Bernardo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ponte Preta | São Bernardo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 0% | 100% | 67% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 67% | 33% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 33% | 33% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ponte Preta | São Bernardo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ponte Preta | São Bernardo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ponte Preta | São Bernardo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 4-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-0 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ponte Preta | São Bernardo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0% | 100% |
| Att | 0% | 100% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 13% | 88% |
| Goals | 30% | 70% |
| Total | 22.7% | 77.7% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home4.30 @ Unibet
Draw3.20 @ Unibet
Away2.25 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.49 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.14 @ Pinnacle
No1.73 @ Betfair
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League standings
Loading standings…