Paulista - A1
— Brazil
Thu, Jan 22 2026 • 22:30 •
Estadio Urbano Caldeira
Expected Goals
5.08 (league 1.18)
1.51 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 49.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% |
best score tips
5 - 1
5.8%
4 - 1
5.8%
3 - 1
4.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Corinthians | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Santos | 0 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Santos | Corinthians |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 44% | 44% |
| Attack | 25% | 33% |
| Defense | 75% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Santos | Corinthians | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
SantosWLD
CorinthiansWLD
League goals
| Metric | Santos | Corinthians | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Santos | Corinthians | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 100% | 67% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 0% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Santos | Corinthians | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Santos | Corinthians |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Santos | Corinthians |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 3-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | — | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Santos | Corinthians |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 48.0% | 52.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.37 @ Betano
Draw3.26 @ 1xBet
Away3.53 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.34 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.73 @ SBO
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.99 @ 1xBet
No1.91 @ Bet365
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League standings
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