Paulista - A1
— Brazil
Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 22:30 •
Estádio Alfredo de Castilho
Expected Goals
0.42 (league 1.18)
0.58 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 21.6% | 46.2% | 32.2% |
best score tips
0 - 0
36.6%
0 - 1
21.3%
1 - 0
15.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Velo Clube | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Noroeste | 0 | 36.6% | 21.3% | 6.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.5% | 9.0% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Noroeste | Velo Clube |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 27% |
| Attack | 63% | 13% |
| Defense | 25% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
44%
FT probability
2.5+
31%
FT probability
3.5+
22%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Noroeste | Velo Clube | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 20% |
| Draws | 50% | 100% | 80% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
| Loses | 50% | 0% | 20% | 67% | 50% | 60% |
NoroesteLDDDD
Velo ClubeDWLLL
League goals
| Metric | Noroeste | Velo Clube | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| GA total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Noroeste | Velo Clube | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 100% | 20% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 20% | 0% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Noroeste | Velo Clube | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Noroeste | Velo Clube |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Noroeste | Velo Clube |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | — | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | — | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Noroeste | Velo Clube |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 83% | 17% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 35% | 65% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 49.3% | 50.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.49 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Dafabet
Away3.23 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.70 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Betano
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.23 @ 188Bet
No1.71 @ Unibet
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League standings
Loading standings…