Paulista - A1
— Brazil
Sun, Feb 8 2026 • 19:00 •
Estadio Alfredo de Castilho
Expected Goals
1.10 (league 1.18)
0.24 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 58.2% | 33.5% | 8.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
28.7%
0 - 0
26.1%
2 - 0
15.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Santos | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Noroeste | 0 | 26.1% | 6.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 28.7% | 7.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.8% | 3.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Noroeste | Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 20% |
| Attack | 54% | 15% |
| Defense | 62% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
51%
FT probability
2.5+
36%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Noroeste | Santos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 33% | 0% | 17% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Draws | 33% | 100% | 67% | 67% | 33% | 50% |
| Loses | 33% | 0% | 17% | 0% | 67% | 33% |
NoroesteLDDDDW
SantosWLDDDL
League goals
| Metric | Noroeste | Santos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Noroeste | Santos | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 83% | 50% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Noroeste | Santos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Noroeste | Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Noroeste | Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | — | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Noroeste | Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 70% | 30% |
| Att | 78% | 22% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 76% | 24% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 68.5% | 31.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home5.15 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.49 @ Pinnacle
Away1.84 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.20 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.06 @ 188Bet
No1.84 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
Loading standings…