Mineiro - 1
— Brazil
Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 22:00 •
Estadio Municipal Castor Cifuentes
Expected Goals
1.01 (league 0.99)
2.89 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 10.2% | 13.9% | 68.5% |
best score tips
1 - 2
8.5%
0 - 2
8.5%
1 - 3
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Atletico-MG | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Itabirito | 0 | 2.0% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.4% |
| 1 | 2.0% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.4% | |
| 2 | 1.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Itabirito | Atletico-MG |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 60% |
| Attack | 50% | 50% |
| Defense | 57% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Itabirito | Atletico-MG | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 29% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 14% | 75% | 67% | 71% |
| Loses | 67% | 50% | 57% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
ItabiritoLLDWLLW
Atletico-MGDDDDWWD
League goals
| Metric | Itabirito | Atletico-MG | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 5 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Itabirito | Atletico-MG | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 71% | 86% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 43% | 29% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 29% | 14% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Itabirito | Atletico-MG | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Itabirito | Atletico-MG |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Itabirito | Atletico-MG |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-2 | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 3-1 | — | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Itabirito | Atletico-MG |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 27% | 73% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 40.3% | 59.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home10.47 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.60 @ Unibet
Away1.35 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.98 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.90 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.67 @ 188Bet
No1.60 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…