Sun, Jan 18 2026 • 19:00 •
Estadio Francisco Stedile
Expected Goals
2.43 (league 1.24)
0.53 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 75.6% | 14.4% | 6.3% |
best score tips
2 - 0
15.3%
1 - 0
12.6%
3 - 0
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Guarany de Bagé | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Caxias | 0 | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.6% | 6.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.3% | 8.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.3% | 6.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Caxias | Guarany de Bagé |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Attack | 33% | 17% |
| Defense | 92% | 83% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.5 | 2 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
68%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Caxias | Guarany de Bagé | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 100% | 50% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
CaxiasDW
Guarany de BagéDD
League goals
| Metric | Caxias | Guarany de Bagé | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Caxias | Guarany de Bagé | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 50% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Caxias | Guarany de Bagé | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Caxias | Guarany de Bagé |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Caxias | Guarany de Bagé |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | — | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Caxias | Guarany de Bagé |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 60.2% | 39.8% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.70 @ Dafabet
Draw3.45 @ Unibet
Away6.20 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.60 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.50 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.51 @ 188Bet
No1.57 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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