Carioca - 1 — Brazil
Sun, Jan 25 2026 • 21:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.86 (league 1.30) 0.48 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
73.9% 5.1% 1.7%
best score tips
3 - 0
12.5%
4 - 0
12.1%
2 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Flamengo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fluminense 0 1.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.0% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.7% 4.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.5% 6.0% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 12.1% 5.8% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 9.3% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFluminenseFlamengo
Played34
Form67%33%
Attack31%19%
Defense75%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 1.73 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 1.36 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1-3
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fluminense Flamengo
HATHAT
Played123224
Wins100%50%67%50%0%25%
Draws0%0%0%50%0%25%
Loses0%50%33%0%100%50%
FluminenseWLW
FlamengoDLLW

League goals

Metric Fluminense Flamengo
HATHAT
GF total235213
GF avg2.01.51.71.00.50.8
GA total134156
GA avg1.01.51.30.52.51.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFluminenseFlamengo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%100%75%75%
1.567%33%0%50%
2.533%0%0%25%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFluminenseFlamengo
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricFluminenseFlamengo
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricFluminenseFlamengo
Wins10
Draws01
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-12-31-0—
Biggest losses—1-0—3-0
Goals For2311
Goals Against1213

Model comparison

MetricFluminenseFlamengo
Form60%40%
Att63%38%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution88%12%
H2h38%62%
Goals43%57%
Total58.7%41.5%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.10 @ Superbet
Draw3.05 @ Superbet
Away2.32 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.20 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.62 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.66 @ 188Bet
No1.78 @ Superbet
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League standings

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