Carioca - 1
— Brazil
Sun, Feb 8 2026 • 21:00 •
Estádio São Januário
Expected Goals
1.54 (league 1.30)
1.44 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 39.7% | 24.3% | 35.1% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.3%
2 - 1
8.7%
1 - 2
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Botafogo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vasco DA Gama | 0 | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 6.0% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vasco DA Gama | Botafogo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 60% |
| Attack | 54% | 46% |
| Defense | 77% | 77% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
54%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vasco DA Gama | Botafogo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 50% | 33% | 40% | 67% | 50% | 60% |
| Draws | 50% | 33% | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 20% | 33% | 50% | 40% |
Vasco DA GamaWDLWD
BotafogoWLWWL
League goals
| Metric | Vasco DA Gama | Botafogo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vasco DA Gama | Botafogo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 40% | 40% | 80% | 40% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 20% | 40% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vasco DA Gama | Botafogo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vasco DA Gama | Botafogo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vasco DA Gama | Botafogo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 0-3 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vasco DA Gama | Botafogo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 53% | 47% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 36% | 64% |
| Total | 48.3% | 51.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.76 @ 188Bet
Draw3.99 @ Pinnacle
Away7.40 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.23 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ Betano
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.40 @ Superbet
No1.69 @ 188Bet
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League standings
Loading standings…