Thu, Jan 15 2026 • 20:00 • Edward Seaga Sports Complex
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.56 (league 1.33) 1.32 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.6% 24.7% 31.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.6%
2 - 1
9.0%
1 - 0
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Montego Bay United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tivoli Gardens 0 5.6% 7.4% 4.9% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
1 8.8% 11.6% 7.6% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.9% 9.0% 5.9% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
3 3.6% 4.7% 3.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.4% 1.8% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTivoli GardensMontego Bay United
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack50%40%
Defense20%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tivoli Gardens Montego Bay United
HATHAT
Played78158816
Wins57%25%40%63%63%63%
Draws29%25%27%13%13%13%
Loses14%50%33%25%25%25%

Form: Tivoli Gardens: LDWLDDLWWWLLWDW • Montego Bay United: DWWWLWWWWLDWLLWW

League goals

Metric Tivoli Gardens Montego Bay United
HATHAT
GF total11516181129
GF avg1.60.61.12.31.41.8
GA total8122091019
GA avg1.11.51.31.11.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTivoli GardensMontego Bay United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%73%75%75%
1.540%33%63%25%
2.50%13%31%13%
3.50%7%13%6%
4.50%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTivoli GardensMontego Bay United
HATHAT
Clean sheets134224
Failed to score145224

Penalties

MetricTivoli GardensMontego Bay United
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricTivoli GardensMontego Bay United
Wins34
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-24-00-2
Biggest losses0-25-00-13-0
Goals For2242
Goals Against2543

Model comparison

MetricTivoli GardensMontego Bay United
Form44%56%
Att56%44%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h29%71%
Goals38%63%
Total41.3%58.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Montego Bay United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.20 @ Superbet
Draw3.45 @ Betano
Away1.86 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.75 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ Superbet
No1.85 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tivoli Gardens = 1.56 (league 1.33), Montego Bay United = 1.32 (league 1.17)

Montego Bay United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tivoli Gardens 0 5.6% 7.4% 4.9% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
1 8.8% 11.6% 7.6% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.9% 9.0% 5.9% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
3 3.6% 4.7% 3.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.4% 1.8% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.6% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 31.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1