Iraqi League — Iraq
Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 13:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
2 - 2
Expected Goals
0.61 (league 1.19) 0.93 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.9% 35.5% 41.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
21.5%
0 - 1
20.0%
1 - 0
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Mosul
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al Karkh 0 21.5% 20.0% 9.3% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.0% 12.1% 5.6% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 4.0% 3.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAl KarkhMosul
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Al Karkh Mosul
HATHAT
Played549358
Wins40%50%44%33%40%38%
Draws40%25%33%33%20%25%
Loses20%25%22%33%40%38%

Form: Al Karkh: LWWDWDLWD • Mosul: LWWLLWDD

League goals

Metric Al Karkh Mosul
HATHAT
GF total6612459
GF avg1.21.51.31.31.01.1
GA total5712538
GA avg1.01.81.31.70.61.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAl KarkhMosul
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%89%63%75%
1.544%33%38%13%
2.511%11%13%13%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAl KarkhMosul
HATHAT
Clean sheets101022
Failed to score112033

Penalties

MetricAl KarkhMosul
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricAl KarkhMosul
Wins22
Draws10
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-12-32-10-3
Biggest losses0-13-01-31-0
Goals For2323
Goals Against2331

Model comparison

MetricAl KarkhMosul
Form62%38%
Att56%44%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total51.0%49.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Al Karkh or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Al Karkh = 0.61 (league 1.19), Mosul = 0.93 (league 1.07)

Mosul
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al Karkh 0 21.5% 20.0% 9.3% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.0% 12.1% 5.6% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 4.0% 3.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.9% · Draw 35.5% · Away win 41.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1