Iraqi League
— Iraq
Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 13:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.58 (league 1.24)
0.95 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 21.8% | 35.4% | 42.8% |
best score tips
0 - 0
21.7%
0 - 1
20.5%
1 - 0
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Mosul | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al Karkh | 0 | 21.7% | 20.5% | 9.7% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.6% | 11.9% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Al Karkh | Mosul |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 33% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Al Karkh | Mosul | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| Wins | 40% | 50% | 44% | 33% | 40% | 38% |
| Draws | 40% | 25% | 33% | 33% | 20% | 25% |
| Loses | 20% | 25% | 22% | 33% | 40% | 38% |
Form: Al Karkh: LWWDWDLWD • Mosul: LWWLLWDD
League goals
| Metric | Al Karkh | Mosul | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 6 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 5 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Al Karkh | Mosul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 89% | 63% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 33% | 38% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 11% | 13% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Al Karkh | Mosul | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Al Karkh | Mosul |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Al Karkh | Mosul |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 2-3 | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-0 | 1-3 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Al Karkh | Mosul |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 62% | 38% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 36% | 64% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 51.0% | 49.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Al Karkh or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Al Karkh = 0.58 (league 1.24), Mosul = 0.95 (league 1.06)
| Mosul | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al Karkh | 0 | 21.7% | 20.5% | 9.7% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.6% | 11.9% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.8% · Draw 35.4% · Away win 42.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1