Iraqi League — Iraq
Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 13:00 • Franso Hariri Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.58 (league 1.24) 0.91 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.4% 36.1% 41.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
22.5%
0 - 1
20.5%
1 - 0
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0 1 2 3 4 5
Erbil 0 22.5% 20.5% 9.3% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.1% 11.9% 5.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 3.8% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricErbilAl Quwa Al Jawiya
Played55
Form87%53%
Attack100%100%
Defense50%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Erbil Al Quwa Al Jawiya
HATHAT
Played549459
Wins100%50%78%50%60%56%
Draws0%50%22%25%20%22%
Loses0%0%0%25%20%22%

Form: Erbil: WWDWWWWDW • Al Quwa Al Jawiya: WLWWDWWDL

League goals

Metric Erbil Al Quwa Al Jawiya
HATHAT
GF total95144610
GF avg1.81.31.61.01.21.1
GA total426426
GA avg0.80.50.71.00.40.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineErbilAl Quwa Al Jawiya
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%56%78%44%
1.544%11%33%22%
2.522%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricErbilAl Quwa Al Jawiya
HATHAT
Clean sheets224145
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricErbilAl Quwa Al Jawiya
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricErbilAl Quwa Al Jawiya
Wins42
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-32-10-2
Biggest losses——0-22-1
Goals For3322
Goals Against2122

Model comparison

MetricErbilAl Quwa Al Jawiya
Form62%38%
Att55%45%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h40%60%
Goals40%60%
Total50.2%49.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Al Quwa Al Jawiya and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.00 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away2.48 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ Unibet
No1.70 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Erbil = 0.58 (league 1.24), Al Quwa Al Jawiya = 0.91 (league 1.06)

Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0 1 2 3 4 5
Erbil 0 22.5% 20.5% 9.3% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.1% 11.9% 5.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 3.8% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.4% · Draw 36.1% · Away win 41.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1