Iraqi League — Iraq
Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 15:30 • Duhok Stadium
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
0.65 (league 1.24) 0.66 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.6% 39.9% 30.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
27.0%
0 - 1
17.9%
1 - 0
17.4%
Score & goals probability table
Baghdad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Duhok 0 27.0% 17.9% 5.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.4% 11.6% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.6% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDuhokBaghdad
Played55
Form73%60%
Attack100%100%
Defense50%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Duhok Baghdad
HATHAT
Played459639
Wins25%40%33%50%67%56%
Draws25%20%22%0%0%0%
Loses50%40%44%50%33%44%

Form: Duhok: LLLLWDDWW • Baghdad: LLWWLLWWW

League goals

Metric Duhok Baghdad
HATHAT
GF total37109211
GF avg0.81.41.11.50.71.2
GA total46109312
GA avg1.01.21.11.51.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDuhokBaghdad
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%56%67%78%
1.544%44%33%33%
2.50%11%11%22%
3.50%0%11%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDuhokBaghdad
HATHAT
Clean sheets224022
Failed to score213213

Penalties

MetricDuhokBaghdad
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricDuhokBaghdad
Wins12
Draws20
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-24-10-1
Biggest losses2-32-00-33-0
Goals For2241
Goals Against3233

Model comparison

MetricDuhokBaghdad
Form55%45%
Att58%42%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h80%20%
Goals67%33%
Total63.7%36.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Duhok or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Duhok = 0.65 (league 1.24), Baghdad = 0.66 (league 1.06)

Baghdad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Duhok 0 27.0% 17.9% 5.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.4% 11.6% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.6% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.6% · Draw 39.9% · Away win 30.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1