Iraqi League — Iraq
Mon, Jan 5 2026 • 13:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
2 - 0
Expected Goals
0.54 (league 1.18) 1.80 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.5% 21.5% 67.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.3%
0 - 2
15.6%
0 - 0
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Naft
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newroz 0 9.6% 17.3% 15.6% 9.4% 4.2% 1.5%
1 5.2% 9.4% 8.4% 5.1% 2.3% 0.8%
2 1.4% 2.5% 2.3% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNewrozNaft
Played55
Form7%40%
Attack22%44%
Defense22%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Newroz Naft
HATHAT
Played549358
Wins20%0%11%33%20%25%
Draws0%25%11%33%60%50%
Loses80%75%78%33%20%25%

Form: Newroz: WLLLLLLLD • Naft: WLDWDLDD

League goals

Metric Newroz Naft
HATHAT
GF total4484610
GF avg0.81.00.91.31.21.3
GA total81018246
GA avg1.62.52.00.70.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNewrozNaft
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%100%63%38%
1.522%67%38%38%
2.511%22%25%0%
3.50%11%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNewrozNaft
HATHAT
Clean sheets000235
Failed to score314123

Penalties

MetricNewrozNaft
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 50.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 50.00%
Total22

Streaks

MetricNewrozNaft
Wins11
Draws01
Losses71

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-2—3-00-3
Biggest losses0-24-01-22-1
Goals For3233
Goals Against2422

Model comparison

MetricNewrozNaft
Form14%86%
Att33%67%
Def22%78%
Poisson Distribution21%79%
H2h20%80%
Goals33%67%
Total23.8%76.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Naft and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.50 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ 10Bet
Away2.45 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.46 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.03 @ 1xBet
No1.83 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Newroz = 0.54 (league 1.18), Naft = 1.80 (league 1.06)

Naft
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newroz 0 9.6% 17.3% 15.6% 9.4% 4.2% 1.5%
1 5.2% 9.4% 8.4% 5.1% 2.3% 0.8%
2 1.4% 2.5% 2.3% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.5% · Draw 21.5% · Away win 67.0%

vtt 6 , vtd1