J1 League — Japan
Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 05:00 • Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.60 (league 1.30) 0.89 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.2% 4.8% 2.5%
best score tips
4 - 0
7.7%
5 - 0
7.1%
4 - 1
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
Fagiano Okayama
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 4.4% 3.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.7% 5.9% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 7.7% 6.8% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
5 7.1% 6.3% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSanfrecce HiroshimaFagiano Okayama
Played11
Form100%0%
Attack17%6%
Defense94%89%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 31 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 12 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

87%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sanfrecce Hiroshima Fagiano Okayama
HATHAT
Played011011
Wins—100%100%—0%0%
Draws—0%0%—0%0%
Loses—0%0%—100%100%

Form: Sanfrecce Hiroshima: W • Fagiano Okayama: L

League goals

Metric Sanfrecce Hiroshima Fagiano Okayama
HATHAT
GF total033011
GF avg0.03.03.00.01.01.0
GA total011022
GA avg0.01.01.00.02.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSanfrecce HiroshimaFagiano Okayama
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.5100%0%0%100%
2.5100%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSanfrecce HiroshimaFagiano Okayama
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricSanfrecce HiroshimaFagiano Okayama
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSanfrecce HiroshimaFagiano Okayama
Wins10
Draws00
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-3——
Biggest losses———2-1
Goals For0301
Goals Against0102

Model comparison

MetricSanfrecce HiroshimaFagiano Okayama
Form100%0%
Att75%25%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total60.5%39.5%

Advice: Winner : Sanfrecce Hiroshima

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.50 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.32 @ Pinnacle
Away7.32 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.94 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.97 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Betfair
No1.78 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sanfrecce Hiroshima = 4.60 (league 1.30), Fagiano Okayama = 0.89 (league 1.13)

Fagiano Okayama
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 4.4% 3.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.7% 5.9% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 7.7% 6.8% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
5 7.1% 6.3% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.2% · Draw 4.8% · Away win 2.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1