Elitettan — Sweden
Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 12:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started

Gamla Upsala W

—

Elfsborg

Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.69) 3.91 (league 1.53)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.1% 2.3% 77.4%
best score tips
0 - 3
19.0%
0 - 4
18.6%
0 - 2
14.5%
Score & goals probability table
Elfsborg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gamla Upsala W 0 1.9% 7.4% 14.5% 19.0% 18.6% 14.5%
1 0.1% 0.4% 0.7% 0.9% 0.9% 0.7%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Away edge

Elfsborg carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 60 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Gamla Upsala W +16.5, Elfsborg +29.7.

Medium confidence Upset risk: Medium Elo standalone
Gamla Upsala W Elo 1419.2 · +16.5
vs
Elfsborg Elo 1514.3 · +29.7
Elo gapElfsborg +60
Home / draw / away32% / 23% / 45%
Expected home share41%
Combined Elo2933.5
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Away edge
Confidence band Medium confidence
Upset risk Medium
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2933.5
Elo home share 41%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric Gamla Upsala W Elfsborg
Overall Elo1419.21514.3
Form Elo1450.91578.1
Home / Away Elo1465.71503.8
Attack Elo1460.61535.7
Defense Elo12691528.2
Last 5 Elo change+16.5+29.7

The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Gamla Upsala W last-5 Elo change: +16.5; Elfsborg last-5 Elo change: +29.7.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGamla Upsala WElfsborg
Played22
Form67%100%
Attack33%42%
Defense75%100%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 25 | 2.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 1.50 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0-1
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gamla Upsala W Elfsborg
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins0%100%50%100%100%100%
Draws100%0%50%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%
Gamla Upsala WWD
ElfsborgWW

League goals

Metric Gamla Upsala W Elfsborg
HATHAT
GF total224235
GF avg2.02.02.02.03.02.5
GA total213000
GA avg2.01.01.50.00.00.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGamla Upsala WElfsborg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%0%
1.5100%50%100%0%
2.50%0%50%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGamla Upsala WElfsborg
HATHAT
Clean sheets000112
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricGamla Upsala WElfsborg
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricGamla Upsala WElfsborg
Wins12
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-22-00-3
Biggest losses————
Goals For2223
Goals Against2100

Model comparison

MetricGamla Upsala WElfsborg
Form40%60%
Att44%56%
Def0%100%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total46.0%54.0%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.00 @ Dafabet
Draw4.10 @ Dafabet
Away1.79 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.56 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.18 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ Unibet
No2.30 @ Unibet
📊

League standings

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League page • Country page • Gamla Upsala W vs Elfsborg