Fri, May 1 2026 • 13:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.67) 0.45 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.8% 31.1% 13.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
23.0%
0 - 0
19.2%
2 - 0
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
Sandviken W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Örebro Söder W 0 19.2% 8.7% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.0% 10.4% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.8% 6.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.5% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home strong edge

Örebro Söder W carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 88 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Örebro Söder W +10.7, Sandviken W -36.3.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Örebro Söder W Elo 1516.4 · +10.7
vs
Sandviken W Elo 1463.6 · -36.3
Elo gapÖrebro Söder W +88
Home / draw / away50% / 20% / 30%
Expected home share62%
Combined Elo2980
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2980
Elo home share 62%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric Örebro Söder W Sandviken W
Overall Elo1516.41463.6
Form Elo1533.81409.6
Home / Away Elo14861494.5
Attack Elo1522.91476.8
Defense Elo1517.91462.2
Last 5 Elo change+10.7-36.3

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Örebro Söder W last-5 Elo change: +10.7; Sandviken W last-5 Elo change: -36.3.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricÖrebro Söder WSandviken W
Played33
Form67%0%
Attack16%11%
Defense84%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 12 | 0.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 18 | 2.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0-1
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Örebro Söder W Sandviken W
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins100%50%67%0%0%0%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%50%33%100%100%100%
Örebro Söder WWLW
Sandviken WLLL

League goals

Metric Örebro Söder W Sandviken W
HATHAT
GF total213202
GF avg2.00.51.01.00.00.7
GA total123718
GA avg1.01.01.03.51.02.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineÖrebro Söder WSandviken W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%67%100%
1.533%33%0%67%
2.50%0%0%33%
3.50%0%0%33%
4.50%0%0%33%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricÖrebro Söder WSandviken W
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricÖrebro Söder WSandviken W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricÖrebro Söder WSandviken W
Wins10
Draws00
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-1
Biggest losses2-01-51-0
Goals For2110
Goals Against1251

Model comparison

MetricÖrebro Söder WSandviken W
Form100%0%
Att60%40%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total66.5%33.5%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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