Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 16:00 • Stade Ibn-Batouta
Match Finished
3 - 1
Expected Goals
2.32 (league 1.29) 0.24 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
81.6% 12.6% 2.6%
best score tips
2 - 0
20.9%
1 - 0
18.0%
3 - 0
16.2%
Score & goals probability table
Sudan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Senegal 0 7.7% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.0% 4.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.9% 4.9% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.2% 3.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.4% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSenegalSudan
Played33
Form78%33%
Attack41%6%
Defense94%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 2.31 | 0.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.35 | 1.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Senegal Sudan
HATHAT
Played213123
Wins50%100%67%0%50%33%
Draws50%0%33%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%100%50%67%

Form: Senegal: WDW • Sudan: LWL

League goals

Metric Senegal Sudan
HATHAT
GF total437011
GF avg2.03.02.30.00.50.3
GA total101235
GA avg0.50.00.32.01.51.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSenegalSudan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%33%33%67%
1.567%0%0%67%
2.567%0%0%33%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSenegalSudan
HATHAT
Clean sheets112011
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricSenegalSudan
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSenegalSudan
Wins11
Draws10
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-3—0-1
Biggest losses——0-23-0
Goals For3301
Goals Against1023

Model comparison

MetricSenegalSudan
Form70%30%
Att88%13%
Def83%17%
Poisson Distribution92%8%
H2h75%25%
Goals80%20%
Total81.3%18.8%

Advice: Winner : Senegal

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.16 @ 188Bet
Draw9.50 @ 1xBet
Away32.00 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.38 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes3.60 @ Betfair
No1.40 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Senegal = 2.32 (league 1.29), Sudan = 0.24 (league 1.06)

Sudan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Senegal 0 7.7% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.0% 4.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.9% 4.9% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.2% 3.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.4% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 81.6% · Draw 12.6% · Away win 2.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1