Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 19:00 • Stade Mohammed V
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
1.55 (league 1.29) 1.41 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.3% 24.4% 34.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.3%
2 - 1
8.8%
1 - 0
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Tunisia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mali 0 5.2% 7.3% 5.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2%
1 8.0% 11.3% 8.0% 3.8% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.2% 8.8% 6.2% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 3.2% 4.5% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.8% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMaliTunisia
Played33
Form33%44%
Attack12%35%
Defense88%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.76 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.75 | 1.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

84%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mali Tunisia
HATHAT
Played123123
Wins0%0%0%100%0%33%
Draws100%100%100%0%50%33%
Loses0%0%0%0%50%33%

Form: Mali: DDD • Tunisia: WLD

League goals

Metric Mali Tunisia
HATHAT
GF total112336
GF avg1.00.50.73.01.52.0
GA total112145
GA avg1.00.50.71.02.01.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMaliTunisia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%100%100%
1.50%0%67%33%
2.50%0%33%33%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMaliTunisia
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricMaliTunisia
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricMaliTunisia
Wins01
Draws30
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——3-1—
Biggest losses———3-2
Goals For1132
Goals Against1113

Model comparison

MetricMaliTunisia
Form43%57%
Att25%75%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h38%62%
Goals40%60%
Total45.7%54.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Tunisia

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.96 @ 188Bet
Draw2.82 @ 188Bet
Away3.60 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.38 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.50 @ Bet365
No1.62 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mali = 1.55 (league 1.29), Tunisia = 1.41 (league 1.06)

Tunisia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mali 0 5.2% 7.3% 5.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2%
1 8.0% 11.3% 8.0% 3.8% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.2% 8.8% 6.2% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 3.2% 4.5% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.8% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.3% · Draw 24.4% · Away win 34.4%

vtt 2 , vtd1