Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 16:00 • Complexe Sportif Moulay Abdellah
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.74 (league 1.29) 0.47 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.8% 21.9% 9.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.1%
2 - 0
16.6%
0 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Tanzania
0 1 2 3 4 5
Morocco 0 10.9% 5.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.1% 9.0% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.6% 7.8% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.6% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMoroccoTanzania
Played33
Form78%22%
Attack35%18%
Defense94%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 23 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.34 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Morocco Tanzania
HATHAT
Played213123
Wins50%100%67%0%0%0%
Draws50%0%33%100%50%67%
Loses0%0%0%0%50%33%

Form: Morocco: WDW • Tanzania: LDD

League goals

Metric Morocco Tanzania
HATHAT
GF total336123
GF avg1.53.02.01.01.01.0
GA total101134
GA avg0.50.00.31.01.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMoroccoTanzania
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%33%100%100%
1.567%0%0%33%
2.533%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMoroccoTanzania
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricMoroccoTanzania
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricMoroccoTanzania
Wins10
Draws10
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-3——
Biggest losses———2-1
Goals For2311
Goals Against1012

Model comparison

MetricMoroccoTanzania
Form78%22%
Att67%33%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total76.5%23.5%

Advice: Double chance : Morocco or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.17 @ Bet365
Draw8.60 @ 1xBet
Away32.00 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.76 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.22 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes3.20 @ Betfair
No1.40 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Morocco = 1.74 (league 1.29), Tanzania = 0.47 (league 1.06)

Tanzania
0 1 2 3 4 5
Morocco 0 10.9% 5.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.1% 9.0% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.6% 7.8% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.6% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.8% · Draw 21.9% · Away win 9.4%

vtt 4 , vtd1