Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 22:30 • Estadio Yankel Rosenthal
Second Half
Expected Goals
2.13 (league 1.22) 0.57 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.6% 17.7% 8.6%
best score tips
2 - 0
15.3%
1 - 0
14.4%
3 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
CD Olimpia
0 1 2 3 4 5
CD Marathon 0 6.7% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.4% 8.1% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.3% 8.7% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.8% 6.2% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.8% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCD MarathonCD Olimpia
Played55
Form87%73%
Attack86%50%
Defense79%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric CD Marathon CD Olimpia
HATHAT
Played121224111223
Wins83%42%63%73%58%65%
Draws17%42%29%27%25%26%
Loses0%17%8%0%17%9%

Form: CD Marathon: WWLWDDWDWDDWDWWWWLWWWWDW • CD Olimpia: WWWDDWLWDWWWDWWWLWDWWDW

League goals

Metric CD Marathon CD Olimpia
HATHAT
GF total242751242347
GF avg2.02.32.12.21.92.0
GA total41418121628
GA avg0.31.20.81.11.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCD MarathonCD Olimpia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%46%91%61%
1.567%21%74%43%
2.533%8%22%4%
3.58%0%4%4%
4.54%0%4%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCD MarathonCD Olimpia
HATHAT
Clean sheets9413459
Failed to score112022

Penalties

MetricCD MarathonCD Olimpia
Scored (total | %)8 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total84

Streaks

MetricCD MarathonCD Olimpia
Wins43
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-00-43-12-7
Biggest losses—3-2—6-2
Goals For7437
Goals Against2326

Model comparison

MetricCD MarathonCD Olimpia
Form54%46%
Att63%37%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h29%71%
Goals45%55%
Total53.3%46.7%

Advice: Winner : CD Marathon

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.35 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away3.63 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.23 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.73 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ William Hill
No1.90 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): CD Marathon = 2.13 (league 1.22), CD Olimpia = 0.57 (league 1.00)

CD Olimpia
0 1 2 3 4 5
CD Marathon 0 6.7% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.4% 8.1% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.3% 8.7% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.8% 6.2% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.8% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.6% · Draw 17.7% · Away win 8.6%

vtt 3 , vtd1