Thu, Jan 8 2026 • 01:00 • Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.15 (league 1.23) 2.47 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.6% 18.9% 42.3%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.9%
1 - 2
6.5%
2 - 3
5.7%
Score & goals probability table
CD Marathon
0 1 2 3 4 5
CD Olimpia 0 1.0% 2.4% 3.0% 2.5% 1.5% 0.8%
1 2.1% 5.2% 6.5% 5.3% 3.3% 1.6%
2 2.3% 5.6% 6.9% 5.7% 3.5% 1.7%
3 1.6% 4.0% 5.0% 4.1% 2.5% 1.3%
4 0.9% 2.2% 2.7% 2.2% 1.4% 0.7%
5 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCD OlimpiaCD Marathon
Played55
Form73%73%
Attack50%86%
Defense79%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.412 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric CD Olimpia CD Marathon
HATHAT
Played111324131225
Wins73%54%63%77%42%60%
Draws27%31%29%23%42%32%
Loses0%15%8%0%17%8%

Form: CD Olimpia: WWWDDWLWDWWWDWWWLWDWWDWD • CD Marathon: WWLWDDWDWDDWDWWWWLWWWWDWD

League goals

Metric CD Olimpia CD Marathon
HATHAT
GF total242549262753
GF avg2.21.92.02.02.32.1
GA total12183061420
GA avg1.11.41.30.51.20.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCD OlimpiaCD Marathon
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%63%92%48%
1.575%46%68%24%
2.521%4%32%8%
3.54%4%8%0%
4.54%4%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCD OlimpiaCD Marathon
HATHAT
Clean sheets4599413
Failed to score022112

Penalties

MetricCD OlimpiaCD Marathon
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%8 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total48

Streaks

MetricCD OlimpiaCD Marathon
Wins34
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-77-00-4
Biggest losses—6-2—3-2
Goals For3774
Goals Against2623

Model comparison

MetricCD OlimpiaCD Marathon
Form50%50%
Att37%63%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h71%29%
Goals53%47%
Total53.7%46.5%

Advice: Double chance : CD Olimpia or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.98 @ Unibet
Draw3.20 @ 10Bet
Away5.03 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.13 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ William Hill
No1.88 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): CD Olimpia = 2.15 (league 1.23), CD Marathon = 2.47 (league 1.02)

CD Marathon
0 1 2 3 4 5
CD Olimpia 0 1.0% 2.4% 3.0% 2.5% 1.5% 0.8%
1 2.1% 5.2% 6.5% 5.3% 3.3% 1.6%
2 2.3% 5.6% 6.9% 5.7% 3.5% 1.7%
3 1.6% 4.0% 5.0% 4.1% 2.5% 1.3%
4 0.9% 2.2% 2.7% 2.2% 1.4% 0.7%
5 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.6% · Draw 18.9% · Away win 42.3%

vtt 2 , vtd1