Wed, Jan 14 2026 • 18:45 • Parque Municipal dos Desportos de Fafe
Match Finished
2 - 1
Expected Goals
0.63 (league 1.68) 0.68 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.4% 39.9% 31.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
27.1%
0 - 1
18.4%
1 - 0
17.0%
Score & goals probability table
SC Braga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fafe 0 27.1% 18.4% 6.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.0% 11.5% 3.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.3% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFafeSC Braga
Played43
Form100%100%
Attack28%44%
Defense94%89%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 1.38 | 2.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.32 | 0.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fafe SC Braga
HATHAT
Played224123
Wins100%100%100%100%100%100%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Fafe: WWWW • SC Braga: WWW

League goals

Metric Fafe SC Braga
HATHAT
GF total325448
GF avg1.51.01.34.02.02.7
GA total101202
GA avg0.50.00.32.00.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFafeSC Braga
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%25%100%33%
1.525%0%67%33%
2.50%0%67%0%
3.50%0%33%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFafeSC Braga
HATHAT
Clean sheets123022
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricFafeSC Braga
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricFafeSC Braga
Wins43
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-14-20-3
Biggest losses————
Goals For2143
Goals Against1020

Model comparison

MetricFafeSC Braga
Form57%43%
Att38%62%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total54.0%46.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or SC Braga and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home9.50 @ Unibet
Draw5.40 @ 188Bet
Away1.36 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.32 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.08 @ 188Bet
No1.83 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fafe = 0.63 (league 1.68), SC Braga = 0.68 (league 1.48)

SC Braga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fafe 0 27.1% 18.4% 6.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.0% 11.5% 3.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.3% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.4% · Draw 39.9% · Away win 31.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1