AFC Cup — World
Wed, Feb 18 2026 • 18:15 • King Saud University Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.78 (league 1.67) 0.24 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.5% 1.7% 0.3%
best score tips
4 - 0
14.4%
5 - 0
13.8%
3 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Arkadag
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al-Nassr 0 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7.6% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.1% 2.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 14.4% 3.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 13.8% 3.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAl-NassrArkadag
Played55
Form100%40%
Attack84%26%
Defense89%74%
Goals For (tot | avg)16 | 3.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Al-Nassr Arkadag
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins100%100%100%25%0%14%
Draws0%0%0%50%67%57%
Loses0%0%0%25%33%29%

Form: Al-Nassr: WWWWWWW • Arkadag: DLDDDWL

League goals

Metric Al-Nassr Arkadag
HATHAT
GF total14923235
GF avg4.72.33.30.51.00.7
GA total112257
GA avg0.30.30.30.51.71.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAl-NassrArkadag
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%29%57%71%
1.586%0%14%29%
2.557%0%0%0%
3.557%0%0%0%
4.529%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAl-NassrArkadag
HATHAT
Clean sheets235202
Failed to score000213

Penalties

MetricAl-NassrArkadag
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricAl-NassrArkadag
Wins71
Draws03
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-41-0—
Biggest losses——0-12-0
Goals For5412
Goals Against1112

Model comparison

MetricAl-NassrArkadag
Form71%29%
Att76%24%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution94%6%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total78.0%22.0%

Advice: Winner : Al-Nassr

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.08 @ Bet365
Draw12.20 @ Pinnacle
Away61.00 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.33 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.60 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes3.50 @ 188Bet
No1.40 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Al-Nassr = 4.78 (league 1.67), Arkadag = 0.24 (league 1.27)

Arkadag
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al-Nassr 0 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7.6% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.1% 2.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 14.4% 3.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 13.8% 3.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.5% · Draw 1.7% · Away win 0.3%

vtt 2 , vtd1