AFC Cup — World
Wed, Feb 18 2026 • 18:15 • King Saud University Stadium
Match Finished

Al-Nassr

1 - 0

Arkadag

Expected Goals
4.85 (league 1.65) 0.23 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.4% 1.6% 0.3%
best score tips
4 - 0
14.3%
5 - 0
13.9%
3 - 0
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
Arkadag
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al-Nassr 0 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7.3% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.8% 2.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 14.3% 3.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 13.9% 3.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAl-NassrArkadag
Played55
Form100%40%
Attack84%26%
Defense89%74%
Goals For (tot | avg)16 | 3.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1-3
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Al-Nassr Arkadag
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins100%100%100%25%0%14%
Draws0%0%0%50%67%57%
Loses0%0%0%25%33%29%

Form: Al-Nassr: WWWWWWW • Arkadag: DLDDDWL

League goals

Metric Al-Nassr Arkadag
HATHAT
GF total14923235
GF avg4.72.33.30.51.00.7
GA total112257
GA avg0.30.30.30.51.71.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAl-NassrArkadag
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%29%57%71%
1.586%0%14%29%
2.557%0%0%0%
3.557%0%0%0%
4.529%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAl-NassrArkadag
HATHAT
Clean sheets235202
Failed to score000213

Penalties

MetricAl-NassrArkadag
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricAl-NassrArkadag
Wins71
Draws03
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-41-0—
Biggest losses——0-12-0
Goals For5412
Goals Against1112

Model comparison

MetricAl-NassrArkadag
Form71%29%
Att76%24%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution94%6%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total78.0%22.0%

Advice: Winner : Al-Nassr

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.08 @ Bet365
Draw12.20 @ Pinnacle
Away61.00 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.33 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.60 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes3.50 @ 188Bet
No1.40 @ Betfair
📊

League standings

Loading standings…
League page • Country page • Venue page • Al-Nassr vs Arkadag
footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Al-Nassr
vs
Arkadag
AFC Cup • World • Wed, Feb 18 2026 • 18:15 • King Saud University Stadium
Expected goals
4.85
Al-Nassr xG League Avg: 1.65
Total
5.08
0.23
Arkadag xG League Avg: 1.28
1x2 probabilities
Home
62.4%
Draw
1.6%
Away
0.3%
Best score tips
Tip
4 - 0
14.3%
Tip
5 - 0
13.9%
Tip
3 - 0
11.8%
More chances
1.5+
93%
Chance
2.5+
65%
Chance
3.5+
46%
Chance
BTTS
69%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 3
Exp.
#AlNassr #Arkadag #AfcCup #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Al-Nassr = 4.85 (league 1.65), Arkadag = 0.23 (league 1.28)

Arkadag
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al-Nassr 0 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7.3% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.8% 2.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 14.3% 3.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 13.9% 3.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.4% · Draw 1.6% · Away win 0.3%

vtt 2 , vtd1