Super League — Kenya
Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 11:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.92 (league 1.25) 0.18 (league 0.78)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
78.9% 16.9% 2.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
23.5%
2 - 0
22.6%
3 - 0
14.4%
Score & goals probability table
Mombasa Elite
0 1 2 3 4 5
Soy United 0 12.3% 2.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.5% 4.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 22.6% 4.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.4% 2.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.9% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSoy UnitedMombasa Elite
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack31%44%
Defense69%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Soy United Mombasa Elite
HATHAT
Played68147714
Wins83%0%36%100%14%57%
Draws17%38%29%0%14%7%
Loses0%63%36%0%71%36%

Form: Soy United: DWDLWLLWDLWLDW • Mombasa Elite: WWWLWDWLWLLWLW

League goals

Metric Soy United Mombasa Elite
HATHAT
GF total751213518
GF avg1.20.60.91.90.71.3
GA total1101131417
GA avg0.21.30.80.42.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSoy UnitedMombasa Elite
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%57%71%64%
1.514%21%50%36%
2.50%0%7%14%
3.50%0%0%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSoy UnitedMombasa Elite
HATHAT
Clean sheets516415
Failed to score134044

Penalties

MetricSoy UnitedMombasa Elite
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSoy UnitedMombasa Elite
Wins13
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—3-00-1
Biggest losses—2-1—4-0
Goals For2132
Goals Against1214

Model comparison

MetricSoy UnitedMombasa Elite
Form54%46%
Att42%58%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution93%7%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total63.3%36.8%

Advice: Double chance : Soy United or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.17 @ Dafabet
Draw2.99 @ Pinnacle
Away3.60 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.88 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.47 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Betfair
No1.59 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Soy United = 1.92 (league 1.25), Mombasa Elite = 0.18 (league 0.78)

Mombasa Elite
0 1 2 3 4 5
Soy United 0 12.3% 2.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.5% 4.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 22.6% 4.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.4% 2.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.9% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 78.9% · Draw 16.9% · Away win 2.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1