UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification — World
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 09:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started

Luxembourg U17

—

Liechtenstein U17

Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.85) 0.05 (league 1.54)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.6% 90.7% 4.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
90.5%
0 - 1
4.5%
1 - 0
4.5%
Score & goals probability table
Liechtenstein U17
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luxembourg U17 0 90.5% 4.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home strong edge

Luxembourg U17 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 96 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Luxembourg U17 -24.8, Liechtenstein U17 -47.1.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Luxembourg U17 Elo 1472.3 · -24.8
vs
Liechtenstein U17 Elo 1410.9 · -47.1
Elo gapLuxembourg U17 +96
Home / draw / away52% / 19% / 29%
Expected home share64%
Combined Elo2883.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2883.2
Elo home share 64%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric Luxembourg U17 Liechtenstein U17
Overall Elo1472.31410.9
Form Elo14401357.1
Home / Away Elo1497.51457.9
Attack Elo1461.71403.3
Defense Elo1476.11058.1
Last 5 Elo change-24.8-47.1

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Luxembourg U17 last-5 Elo change: -24.8; Liechtenstein U17 last-5 Elo change: -47.1.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLuxembourg U17Liechtenstein U17
Played23
Form0%0%
Attack0%0%
Defense50%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)0 | 00 | 0
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 2.526 | 8.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

11.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

8.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

70%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-3
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Luxembourg U17 Liechtenstein U17
HATHAT
Played112123
Wins0%0%0%0%0%0%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses100%100%100%100%100%100%
Luxembourg U17LL
Liechtenstein U17LLL

League goals

Metric Luxembourg U17 Liechtenstein U17
HATHAT
GF total000000
GF avg0.00.00.00.00.00.0
GA total145111526
GA avg1.04.02.511.07.58.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLuxembourg U17Liechtenstein U17
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.50%100%0%100%
1.50%50%0%100%
2.50%50%0%100%
3.50%50%0%100%
4.50%0%0%100%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLuxembourg U17Liechtenstein U17
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score112123

Penalties

MetricLuxembourg U17Liechtenstein U17
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLuxembourg U17Liechtenstein U17
Wins00
Draws00
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins————
Biggest losses0-14-00-1110-0
Goals For0000
Goals Against141110

Model comparison

MetricLuxembourg U17Liechtenstein U17
Form0%0%
Att0%0%
Def84%16%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total84.0%16.0%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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League page • Country page • Luxembourg U17 vs Liechtenstein U17