Tue, Apr 28 2026 • 12:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.85)
1.30 (league 1.54)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 21.7% | 28.8% | 49.3% |
best score tips
0 - 1
16.6%
0 - 0
12.8%
1 - 1
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Hungary U17 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Luxembourg U17 | 0 | 12.8% | 16.6% | 10.8% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.7% | 12.6% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Luxembourg U17 -24.8, Hungary U17 +6.9.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
Luxembourg U17
vs
Hungary U17
Elo gapHungary U17 +5
Home / draw / away35% / 29% / 36%
Expected home share49%
Combined Elo2984.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2984.2
Elo home share
49%
Match tone
Strong Watch
| Metric | Luxembourg U17 | Hungary U17 |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1472.3 | 1511.9 |
| Form Elo | 1440 | 1518.6 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1497.5 | 1497.3 |
| Attack Elo | 1461.7 | 1578.3 |
| Defense Elo | 1476.1 | 1472 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -24.8 | +6.9 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Luxembourg U17 last-5 Elo change: -24.8; Hungary U17 last-5 Elo change: +6.9.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Luxembourg U17 | Hungary U17 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 4 |
| Form | 11% | 58% |
| Attack | 12% | 88% |
| Defense | 59% | 47% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.7 | 15 | 3.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 2.3 | 9 | 2.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
71%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Luxembourg U17 | Hungary U17 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 67% | 0% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 100% | 25% |
| Loses | 100% | 50% | 67% | 33% | 0% | 25% |
Luxembourg U17LLD
Hungary U17DWLW
League goals
| Metric | Luxembourg U17 | Hungary U17 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 2 | 15 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 4.3 | 2.0 | 3.8 |
| GA total | 1 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 2.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Luxembourg U17 | Hungary U17 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 33% | 100% | 100% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 67% | 75% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 33% | 50% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 33% | 50% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 25% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Luxembourg U17 | Hungary U17 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Luxembourg U17 | Hungary U17 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Luxembourg U17 | Hungary U17 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 8-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 4-0 | 1-7 | — |
| Goals For | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Luxembourg U17 | Hungary U17 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 13% | 88% |
| Att | 12% | 88% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 27.0% | 73.3% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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