Expected Goals
0.54 (league 1.85)
2.93 (league 1.54)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.3% | 10.4% | 77.7% |
best score tips
0 - 2
13.4%
0 - 3
13.0%
0 - 4
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Finland U17 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bosnia-Herzegovina U17 | 0 | 3.1% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 5.6% |
| 1 | 1.7% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.0% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Bosnia-Herzegovina U17 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 67 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Bosnia-Herzegovina U17 -28.9, Finland U17 +10.0.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Bosnia-Herzegovina U17
vs
Finland U17
Elo gapBosnia-Herzegovina U17 +67
Home / draw / away47% / 22% / 31%
Expected home share60%
Combined Elo2988
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2988
Elo home share
60%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Bosnia-Herzegovina U17 | Finland U17 |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1510.1 | 1477.9 |
| Form Elo | 1483.8 | 1494.2 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1507.8 | 1455.1 |
| Attack Elo | 1536.1 | 1514.3 |
| Defense Elo | 1522.7 | 1319 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -28.9 | +10.0 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Bosnia-Herzegovina U17 last-5 Elo change: -28.9; Finland U17 last-5 Elo change: +10.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bosnia-Herzegovina U17 | Finland U17 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 17% | 58% |
| Attack | 20% | 40% |
| Defense | 60% | 87% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.5 | 2 | 0.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bosnia-Herzegovina U17 | Finland U17 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 67% | 0% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 67% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 100% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 100% | 25% |
Bosnia-Herzegovina U17LLDD
Finland U17LWDW
League goals
| Metric | Bosnia-Herzegovina U17 | Finland U17 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GA avg | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bosnia-Herzegovina U17 | Finland U17 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 75% | 75% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 50% | 50% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 25% | 25% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bosnia-Herzegovina U17 | Finland U17 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bosnia-Herzegovina U17 | Finland U17 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bosnia-Herzegovina U17 | Finland U17 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 3-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 1-0 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bosnia-Herzegovina U17 | Finland U17 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 22% | 78% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 36.0% | 64.0% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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